GOP On Track For November
"I Don't Mind A Parasite. I Object To A Cut-Rate One."
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The results of yesterday’s nationwide congressional primaries are in, and the GOP probably couldn’t have hoped for much better results. As reported by Philip Rucker and Robert Costa of the Washington Post in their article titled “Republicans receive boost in Senate primaries”:

“Republicans’ hopes of taking back the Senate received a big boost in primary elections Tuesday, with Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) easily winning and other candidates favored by the party establishment beating back tea party challengers.

After years of intraparty turmoil that cost Republicans key races, voters this year are coalescing around the GOP’s strongest candidates ahead of November’s general election, when control of the Senate during President Obama’s final two years in office will be up for grabs.

On Tuesday, the most consequential day of voting so far this year, Democrats were left disappointed. GOP Senate candidates prone to making controversial statements lost to better-financed, more disciplined rivals with the potential to capitalize on Obama’s unpopularity and the troubles with his signature health-care law.

Nowhere was this more evident than in Kentucky and Georgia, the only two states where Democrats think they can win Senate seats held by Republicans. Democrats had hoped McConnell would emerge from the primary campaign badly bruised, if not defeated, but he prevailed Tuesday largely unscathed and conservative groups quickly called for party unity.

And in Georgia, Democrats were banking on Republicans nominating a candidate so far to the right that he or she would alienate suburban centrist voters. But the two contenders considered to have the broadest general-election viability — businessman David Perdue and Rep. Jack Kingston — advanced to a July 22 runoff, complicating Democrat Michelle Nunn’s path to victory.”

See: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-receive-boost-in-senate-primaries/2014/05/20/0f745eb0-e02a-11e3-9743-bb9b59cde7b9_story.html

Geoffrey Kabaservice at Politico.com was blunt and succinct in his article titled: “The Grownups Are Back In Charge.” Said Kabaservice:

“It was fun while it lasted, but now the adults have returned to clean up, turn down the music and send the unruly teenagers to bed. That, at any rate, is the message of the 2014 Republican primary contests so far, which have generally vindicated the media storyline of the establishment taking back the GOP from the Tea Party.”

See: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/05/mitch-mcconnell-tea-party-republicans-2014-elections-106923.html#.U3zPFpPD_cs

And Nate Cohn of the New York Times rendered this assessment of the state of the Senate race here in Georgia:

“The Georgia Republican primary is over, and so are Democratic wishes for their dream outcome.

Democrats had hoped they might face Paul Broun or Phil Gingrey, two Tea Party-backed conservatives with a record of outlandish statements. The possibility that one of those two might win the Republican nomination was a big part of why some thought Michelle Nunn, now officially the Democratic nominee, would have a good chance of winning this November.

But on Tuesday, Mr. Broun and Mr. Gingrey failed to advance to the runoff. Instead, Ms. Nunn will face David Perdue or Jack Kingston, who will battle to win the Republican nomination in July’s runoff primary….. As a result, Ms. Nunn’s chance for victory is now weaker, even if the mediocre competition and her family name — she’s the daughter of the former senator Sam Nunn — make an upset possible.”

And

“(However,) Ms. Nunn’s chances….can’t be completely dismissed. Demographic change has pushed Georgia far enough that a Democrat could conceivably squeak out a narrow win if everything goes right. But there should be no mistaking this race for a true tossup. Ms. Nunn will need to match the best performance by a Democratic candidate for federal office in more than a decade, even though she’s not an incumbent and the state’s white voters have become more conservative. It is possible, but hardly an outcome to count on.”

See: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/22/upshot/narrow-path-to-victory-for-michelle-nunn-in-georgia.html?_r=0

One thing I found particularly interesting about yesterday’s election turnout is that the Republicans certainly inspired their voters to show up at the polls compared to the Democrats. Per the final numbers reported by Politico.com, GOP U.S. Senate primary candidates garnered 603,880 votes, while the total Democrat tally was 328,047 (of which 245,969 votes were cast for Michelle Nunn). While this may not be a definite predictor of the way things will go in November, it is certainly not a bad sign for the GOP when their turnout beats the Democrats nearly 2 to 1.

See: http://www.politico.com/2014-election/results/map/senate/georgia/#.U3zScpPD_cs

So it’s a long, long while from May to November, and especially here in Georgia where there remains a tough nine-week run-off between Perdue and Kingston. But the GOP appears to be firmly on track in their efforts to fire Harry Reid as the Senate majority leader. There’s still plenty of time for Republicans to seize defeat from the jaws of victory, but paraphrasing Maverick’s observation in the movie “Top Gun” :

“This could be complicated….but it's looking good so far.”


Latest Activity: May 21, 2014 at 12:37 PM


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JimmyMack commented on Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 13:26 PM

Hi Sebe. I would call that a 'fair and balanced' analysis.

sebekm commented on Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 13:29 PM

Hi Jimmy. Yes - for this one, the mantra is; YOU DECIDE!

JimmyMack commented on Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 13:59 PM

The silver lining I discern in your well written post is that the Tea Party may have heard their death knell in all of this. And yes, as a Democrat, they probably would have been easy pickins for us in the mid-terms. Now they just may be that footnote in history that I was hoping their movement would devolve into. It's just that I would have preferred the Dems inflicting that mortal wound upon them. I am now left only with finding some comfort that just maybe their brand of extremism is rejected by their fellow Republicans.

That's not much, but I will take whatever I can get.

sebekm commented on Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 14:56 PM

I'm not sure it was "rejected" so much as "incorporated" - albeit in a more moderate way. Ross Perot and Ralph Nader had their days as well - with some of the remnants (i.e., "legacy?) sticking on both sides of the mainstream political aisle.

The latest poll I saw (and reported here) was that more than two-thirds of the American people SHARED the stated goals of the Tea Party. It's their METHODS that cranked people up - on both sides. Those "extremist" methods were losers from the get-go, but they did get people's attention, particularly in the traditional GOP leadership. For me, the best thing to come out of it is that - like the Union army at Gettysburg - the Republicans have been hammered into a position that the Dems will find difficult to whip them out of. It's the old "what doesn't kill you makes you stronger" situation. Now the next lesson they need to learn is the one trumpeted often by Ronald Reagan (the 11th Commandment as it were):

"Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican."

When the GOP re-learns THAT lesson, they will be very tough to beat - particularly if they learn it soon while the majority of the country is still sick of Democrats in control.

We'll see how it works soon here in Georgia. The questions are:

*Will Perdue and Kingston conduct massive slime campaigns which will primarily serve to provide ammunition for the Nunnites?

*Will Nunn finally "go negative" against the GOP candidate in the months leading up to the election?

*Will Nunn be able to effectively separate herself from being a Democrat in order to sway enough of the independent vote (and some Republicans) in order to win?

*How will Nunn negotiate the debates (which she has avoided thus far like the plague) and what effect will stating her position on the issues (assuming she does so) have on her electability?

Having a legacy is great, but Perdue has one as well. And WE THE PEOPLE won't be voting for Perdue's cousin or Michelle's old man.

Finally - for whatever it's worth - Herman Cain endorses PERDUE:

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/05/...

sebekm commented on Wednesday, May 21, 2014 at 18:27 PM

...and finally (for today):

Calling All Stations……Clear The Airwaves…….Clear ALL Airwaves…....Good evening, Mr. and Mrs. America….from border to border and coast to coast and all the ships at sea. Let's go to press.

FLASH: Republican’s “War On Women” Losing Steam

As a result of yesterday’s Senate primaries, three more potential GOP women Senators have been added to the mix for November:

http://onpolitics.usatoday.com/2014/0...

Dad-gummit. Where’s all the misogyny when you need some? If the GOP keeps this up, people might think they’re trying to establish a “big tent.”


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