Worst (or Best) Poll Yet And More
"I Don't Mind A Parasite. I Object To A Cut-Rate One."
Last comment by sebekm 5 months, 3 weeks ago.

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First – let’s see what the polls say about how WE THE PEOPLE feel on important political issues this week:

*In what the BusinessInsider headlines as “This Just Might Be The Worst Poll Yet For Democrats”:

“The Republican Party is at its strongest point in two decades heading into midterm elections, according to a new Pew Research-USA Today poll, the latest daunting sign for Democrats ahead of campaign season.

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.

According to the poll, out Monday, Republicans have a 47-43 lead on the generic congressional ballot. That's a 10-point swing from October, when Democrats, boosted by GOP blame for the federal government shutdown, held a 6-point lead in the Pew poll.

Overall, Democrats are plagued by the still-sluggish economy, the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act, and the undesirable views of President Obama. More voters (26%) say their vote will be "against" the president. Only 16% say their vote will be "for" Obama. And by more than a 2-to-1 margin, voters say they want the next president to pursue policies different from the Obama administration's priorities.”

http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-elections-republicans-democrats-obama-2014-5#!KorgQ


*This poll itself is further examined in this article at USATODAY.com:

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2014/05/05/usa-today-pew-poll-midterm-landscape-tilts-to-gop/8520429/

Hmmmm….the GOP is at “its strongest point in two decades heading into midterm elections,” – “even stronger….than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010.” And the Republicans are in the LEAD in the on the "generic congressional ballot." To this I say: WOW! So much for the effectiveness of Dem propaganda. It looks like WE THE PEOPLE *CAN* distinguish reality from B.S. ObamaCare contines to do the work.

*The Associated Press blows big holes in the government propaganda touting the April U.S. jobs report, and highlights five facts the Democrats don’t want you to know. According to the article at ABCnews.com titled “5 Cautionary Signs Tucked Into April's Jobs Report”:

--“The government uses two surveys for the jobs report. The job gain comes from a survey of businesses, the unemployment rate from a survey of households. Sometimes, the two conflict.

The survey of businesses showed 288,000 more jobs. Yet the household survey, in calculating unemployment, found that 73,000 fewer people had jobs.

Why did the unemployment rate sink? Because 806,000 FEWER PEOPLE WERE IN THE WORKFORCE(!). Many retired or ended their job hunts. And fewer-than-expected people began looking for work.”

--“543,000 FEWER PEOPLE SEEKING WORK
The number of people who began seeking work for the first time fell 126,000 from March to roughly 1 million. The figure for new grads and parents who began looking was even bleaker: Down 417,000 to 2.6 million.”

--“NO HOUSING REBOUND
Builders added 32,000 workers in April. But just 41 percent of them were for constructing homes. That share is usually around 50 percent. The lower figure likely reflects how much housing has cooled this year after a solid improvement in 2013. Sales of new homes plunged 14.5 percent last month, according to the Commerce Department.”

--“HIGH SCHOOL GRADS AND DROPUTS LOSING OUT
People who've never been to college — about a third of workers older than 25 — are struggling. More than 200,000 high school drop-outs lost jobs last month. So did 276,000 high school graduates. This group isn't sharing in a recovery in which college has become practically a pre-requisite. Only 54.3 percent of high school grads either have a job or are looking for one. That's down from roughly 60 percent before the recession.”

--“FLAT WAGES
Average weekly paychecks didn't budge in April. They were $838.70, exactly as in March. Stagnant pay could slow growth, since about 70 percent of economic activity comes from consumers. They can't ramp up spending unless their wages rise. "Firms are hiring again, but we still need wages to rise faster if the economy is to really accelerate," said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economics.”

--“45,000 MORE MEN WORKING TWO FULL-TIME JOBS
Imagine juggling two-full time jobs. About 198,000 men managed this balancing act last month — a sharp increase of 45,000 year-over-year. True, that's a small share of the 145.7 million working Americans. But it reveals something critical in an economy in which several million Americans can't land one job, let alone two.”

See: http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/cautionary-signs-tucked-aprils-jobs-report-23575419

For more about “Shocking US jobs data impugns recovery, Fed tapering,” see:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/10805350/Shocking-US-jobs-data-impugns-recovery-Fed-tapering.html

*Robert D Popper becomes a Dememocratic “Party Pooper” with his expose’ in the Wall Street Journal titled “Political Fraud About Voter Fraud.” In his article, Popper points out that “the president’s selective statics are red meat to supporters, but still bogus.” Here are the highlights:

“The Obama administration has been ramping up its rhetoric about the evil of voter identification as part of the run-up to the midterm elections. In January, Attorney General Eric Holder told MSNBC that voter fraud "simply does not exist to the extent that would warrant" voter ID laws, adding that many who favor such measures do so in order to "depress the vote." Vice President Joe Biden claimed in February that new voter ID laws in North Carolina, Alabama and Texas were motivated by "hatred" and "zealotry."

In an April 11 speech to Al Sharpton's National Action Network, President Obama recited statistics purporting to show that voter fraud was extremely rare. The "real voter fraud," he said, "is people who try to deny our rights by making bogus arguments about voter fraud."

These arguments themselves are bogus.”

And

“Voter fraud, whatever its extent, can matter. Many elections, particularly local elections, are decided by slim margins. In January, Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted released remarkable statistics showing that 35 local races and eight local issues were decided in the Buckeye State in 2013 by one vote or by using the state's designated procedure, such as coin-flipping, to break a tie.

If the available evidence suggests that the amount of voter fraud is understated, the evidence that voter-ID laws suppress voting is nonexistent. In elections held after new voter-ID laws were enacted in Georgia and Tennessee, for instance, minority turnout either was stable or increased. In Tennessee, the turnout among Hispanics of voting age rose to 34.7% in 2012 from 19.2% in 2008, according to surveys by the U.S. Census Bureau, even though a strict new photo ID law was in effect in 2012. Turnout among blacks of voting age declined slightly, to 57.4% in 2012 from 58.1% in 2008, but this was within the Census survey's margin of error. In both years, black turnout was around 4% higher than the comparable white turnout.

When it comes to the subject of voter suppression, it is revealing that Mr. Obama avoided statistics earlier this month and relied entirely on conditional verbs: voters "could be turned away from the polls . . . may suddenly be told they can no longer vote . . . may learn that without a document like a passport or a birth certificate, they can't register."

The president's speech may have been red meat for his base and good for fundraising. But it failed to engage the serious issues relating to election integrity. The coming months don't promise an improvement.”

For the entire article, see: http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303380004579521603120225572

*Finally, an opinion piece at USATODAY.com takes issue with “Obama’s highway tolls,” and cites more “unintended consequences” of actions by our present Democrat administration in Washington:

“It's yet another lesson in the law of unintended consequences — and, as usual, the government wants us to pick up the tab for its poor planning. This time, it's the Obama administration's proposal to allow tolls on interstate highways, where such tolls have been banned since the Eisenhower days.

The problem is that government efforts to discourage driving and to encourage fuel conservation have been successful. With people burning less gas, revenues from the gasoline tax are down.

People burning less gas is what the government wanted. But with gas prices at historically high levels (often over four bucks a gallon), and with trust in government at historic lows, politicians aren't too enthusiastic about taking the obvious step, increasing the gas tax. They don't want to take the heat. Instead, they're looking to increase revenue in other, less obvious ways.

This has led states such as Oregon and New Jersey to propose taxing people for mileage instead of gas, probably using GPS trackers. That approach increases taxes most on gas-sipping hybrids and electric cars, which use no gas at all. (You know, the cars the government has been busy subsidizing because they use less or no gas.) But the idea of having all our movement tracked by government-mandated GPS units hasn't played very well with voters, so those schemes have had trouble getting traction.

Tolls are plan B. But they'll also make the driving experience worse, and less private. If states set up old-fashioned toll booths on the interstate, as a number already have for bridges and tunnels, you'll have to slow down to pay. (Which, ironically, will waste gas.) Politicians will undoubtedly like it, though, because all those toll booth employees will be government employees who can probably be counted on to re-elect incumbents.

Of course, this is the 21st century, so we'll let drivers who opt in use radio frequency chips or bar codes to whiz by sensors that withdraw money from your bank account. But that's not really an improvement because it also means that the government will have a handy computerized record of where you go and when. It might not save time, either, as E-ZPass lanes clog up, too.

One of the nice things about driving in America today is that if you tire of the Big Brother aspects of air travel, you can just get in your car and go. Sensor-equipped tolls will make it easy for a government that already spies on us too much to spy on us some more. Whatever promises are made now, experience shows that's exactly what the government will do.

If the gas tax really isn't raising enough money to fix the roads, then our politicians should man up and increase it or better yet stop spending so much of it on sidewalks, bike lanes and mass transit. The worst possible outcome is tolls that instead of just taking our money like a gas tax, will take our money, waste our time and destroy our privacy.”

See: http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2014/05/04/obama-highway-government-gas-prices-taxes-column/8698039/


Latest Activity: May 07, 2014 at 3:04 PM


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JimmyMack commented on Wednesday, May 07, 2014 at 15:59 PM

Apologies to Buffalo Springfield

"There's battle lines being drawn
Nobody's right if everyone is wrong
Many people speaking their minds
With polls taken way ahead of time..."

HI Sebe, my bloggin' buddy. NO one can fault you for digging, looking and examining issues before us. And the 'cyclical' nature of politics may just be the wind at your back. But, as we all know, polls can fluctuate and that there is only ONE that counts.

It appears as far as I can tell, that establishment Republicans are holding their own in primaries with the Tea Partiers within their ranks. So far.

Depending on the depth of the Tea Partiers commitment to their extreme agenda, they may or may not decide to just stay home on election day should the Republican nominee fail their 'conservative enough' litmus test.
They are making a lot of noise now, but the question NOW is: are they going to make a significant mark in history or just end up being a footnote?

The race for the big enchilada (POTUS) and those riding on the coat tails of their Candidate stand to make a mark.
Mid-terms aside, IMHO, a Hillary ticket trumps, due to voter demographics and yes the GENDER factor, a Brother Jeb ticket.

We shall see when the final poll is taken.

sebekm commented on Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 17:30 PM

Yes we shall. My prediction stand:

*Republicans hold the House of Representatives

*Republicans have a good chance of taking over the Senate

*2016 Presidential race is by no means a foregone conclusion, but I see it as a race that is the Democrats to lose.

sebekm commented on Tuesday, May 13, 2014 at 17:31 PM

My predictionS stand, that is....


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