Polls ‘n” Politics
"I Don't Mind A Parasite. I Object To A Cut-Rate One."
Last comment by sebekm 6 months ago.

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Here we go again. First – in the area of the polls: our friends at McClatchy, Rasmussen, and Democratic pollster Anderson Robbins Research/GOP pollster Shaw & Company are at it again, working hard to keep WE THE PEOPLE informed on the current state of political public opinion.

*A recent poll commissioned by Fox News but conducted jointly by Democratic pollster Anderson Robbins Research and GOP pollster Shaw & Company revealed the following about Hillary Clinton and the Republican Party:

“A new poll shows former secretary of state Hillary Clinton's (D) numbers hitting their lowest point in six years.

Meanwhile, it finds that the Republican Party is experiencing something of a renaissance.

(The poll) shows Clinton's favorable rating dropping to 49 percent, compared to 45 percent unfavorable.

The last time her numbers were in that ballpark was during the 2008 Democratic presidential primary race. After she ended her campaign, her favorable/unfavorable split was 47/46.

(The poll also) shows Americans are now evenly split -- 45 percent to 45 percent -- on the GOP. As recently as October, the same poll showed just 30 percent of Americans viewed the GOP favorably, compared to 63 percent unfavorable.

The poll actually shows the GOP's numbers are about the same as the Democratic Party, which has long been held in better regard.”

See: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/04/17/poll-hillary-clintons-numbers-worst-since-2008-as-gop-brand-surges/

So - now "the GOP's numbers are about the same as the Democratic Party." That IS news.

*Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports the results of their poll on voter attitude toward the federal government:

“Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Likely U.S. Voters now fear the federal government, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Forty-seven percent (47%) do not, but another 17% are not sure.

Perhaps in part that’s because 54% consider the federal government today a threat to individual liberty rather than a protector.”


“Two-out-of-three voters (67%) view the federal government today as a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% disagree, while 15% are undecided.

Only 19% now trust the federal government to do the right thing most or nearly all the time, down from 24% in June of last year. Eighty percent (80%) disagree, with 44% who trust the government to do the right thing only some of the time and 36% who say it rarely or never does the right thing.”

See: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/april_2014/37_of_voters_fear_the_federal_government

"Only 19% now trust the federal government to do the right thing most or nearly all the time." This numbers is in step with recent polls which reflect the distrust generally felt by the American people toward President Obama.

*Finally (on polls), the folks at McClatchy reported on April 18th: “Trouble for Democrats: More Senate seats are at risk.” Specifically:

“Democrats are finding that their path to keeping control of the U.S. Senate this year is getting bumpier.

At least four states where Democrats hold Senate seats that once were seen as fairly safe are now considered in play: Michigan, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire.

They join seven states with Democratic incumbents where analysts see decent bets for Republican pickups: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney carried all seven in 2012.

The new four are now battlegrounds for the same reasons that plague Democrats elsewhere. The Affordable Care Act is detested in many circles. Anyone associated with Washington is often toxic. And popular Republicans who are running for other offices are often on the ballot.

“The common thread is that there’s a Democrat in the White House who’s not that popular,” said Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan research group at the University of Virginia. “It wouldn’t be surprising if any of those states went Republican.’”

See: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2014/04/18/224895/trouble-for-democrats-more-senate.html

*Ah yes – the “Affordable Care Act” (known to more than 300 million Americans as “ObamaCare”) continues to do the work for the Republicans. And it appears that the Democratic Party leadership is still fragmenting on the issue. The latest evidence of this was reported yesterday in the National Review Online in their article titled “Dem Congressman on Obamacare: The Worst Is Yet to Come, It’s “Going to Hit the “Fan.” Specifically:

“Massachusetts representative Stephen Lynch isn’t just worried about the negative impact Obamacare will have on his party’s performance this fall — he also thinks its worst effects on our health-care system are still to come. Lynch, who voted against the Affordable Care Act in 2010, warned that the situation is “going to hit the fan” when the law’s delayed provisions go into effect down the road.

“There are parts of Obamacare, or the Affordable Care Act, that were postponed because they are unpalatable,” he told the Boston Herald. The “Cadillac tax” that goes into effect in a few years and taxes employer health plans over a certain value, he said, will be “the first time in this country’s history that we have actually taxed health care.”

Repeal is now impossible, he says, because of the number of Americans who’ve signed up for the law’s exchanges. Democrats will take big political hits on the law this fall anyway, Lynch said.

“We will lose seats in the House,” he said. “I am fairly certain of that based on the poll numbers that are coming out from the more experienced pollsters down there, and I think we may lose the Senate.”

See: http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/376191/dem-congressman-obamacare-worst-yet-come-its-going-hit-fan-andrew-johnson

Of course, this is EXACTLY what the Republicans (and I) have been saying for years. It’s nice to see that some Democrats are starting to pull their heads out of the sand on the issue.

*The effects of the provisions of ObamaCare that WEREN’T delayed continue to take their toll. In the “blue” state of California, sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com recently reported that “Some Covered California Patients Say They Can’t See A Doctor.” Specifically:

“While open enrollment for coverage under the Affordable Care Act is closed, many of the newly insured are finding they can’t find doctors, landing them into a state described as “medical homelessness.”


“Dr. Kevin Grumbach of UCSF called the phenomenon “medical homelessness,” where patients are caught adrift in a system woefully short of primary care doctors.

“Insurance coverage is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to assure that people get access to care when they need it,” Grumbach said.

Those who can’t find a doctor are supposed to lodge a complaint with state regulators, who have been denying the existence of a doctor shortage for months.

Meanwhile, the sick and insured can’t get appointments.

“What good is coverage if you can’t use it?” (Mirella) Nguyen (who works at a free clinic for the uninsured in Mountain View, CA) said.

Experts said the magnitude of the problem is growing, and will soon be felt by all Californians. But those on the front lines, like the free clinic, are feeling it first.

More than 3 million Californians are newly insured. At the same time, a third of our primary care doctors are set to retire. “

See: http://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2014/04/18/consumerwatch-some-covered-california-patients-say-they-cant-see-a-doctor/

*And right here in the great state of Georgia, the National Review Online reported yesterday that “half of Georgia’s insurance “enrollees” haven’t paid yet.” Specifically:

“Georgia insurers received more than 220,000 applications for health coverage in the Affordable Care Act’s exchange as of the official federal deadline of March 31, state officials said Wednesday.

Insurance Commissioner Ralph Hudgens, though, said premiums have been received for only 107,581 of those policies, which cover 149,465 people.

“Many Georgians completed the application process by the deadline, but have yet to pay for the coverage,” Hudgens said in a statement Wednesday.

Half? Half? Sure, the nonpayment rates will be a lot lower in other places. But this indicates how much skepticism is warranted for the administration’s much-touted enrollment figures.

When Progressives insist that we’re wrong and Obamacare is more popular than it seems, they’ll point to the enrollment numbers. They dismiss the national surveys, but there’s some indication that Obamacare’s meager support in the polls is actually worse than we think, because it’s being artificially boosted by respondents that are eager to declare the whole thing a success, no matter how their state exchange is actually performing.”

See: http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/376152/whoops-half-georgias-insurance-enrollees-havent-paid-yet-jim-geraghty

*Finally, President Obama may not be the greatest President we’ve ever had in terms of foreign policy, domestic policy, uniting the country, or making every citizen feel that he is looking out for them. But he is – by far – the best Campaigner-in-Chief this country has ever had. In his article titled “Campaigning for Cash,” Geoffrey Norman points out:

“President Obama appears to be the best there ever was when it comes to raising cash. But that’s because he works so hard at it. As James Oliphant of Government Executive reports:

After two separate recent events in Houston, President Obama has attended 373 fundraisers during his five-plus years in office. That's just about one every five days or so. Assuming he speaks for close to 15 minutes at each event, that's well more than 5,000 presidential minutes consumed by the dirty business of asking people for money. And that doesn't include the prep, the glad-handing and hobnobbing, the photos, the private asides, the travel.

This puts him ahead of the pack, given that:

At this point in his presidency, George W. Bush, a true grip-and-grin guy if there's ever been one, had attended just 200 such events … [Obama] is, in fact, way ahead of the second-term fundraising efforts of not only Bush but also of Bill Clinton, another man who could work a room.

There would be a point, one thinks, at which all this demagoguing for dough becomes unseemly and we can surely expect the mainstream media to alert us when, and if, President Obama approaches it. Meanwhile, there is this to think about.

The president came into office pledged to heal the nation’s suppurating political wounds. To pacify its angry heart and so on and so forth.

But you don’t do that when you are out raising political money. That is an exercise that calls for throwing lots of red meat to the hungry partisans and getting them to believe that unless they write those checks, the barbarians will be soon inside the gates.

President Obama has raised a lot of money but in doing so he has also raised, considerably, the nation’s political fevers.”

See: https://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/campaigning-cash_786969.html

Latest Activity: Apr 22, 2014 at 4:06 PM

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timeontarget commented on Tuesday, Apr 22, 2014 at 16:53 PM

Excellent, I'll comment in a day or two after I've had a chance to study it.

PoliticsNation commented on Tuesday, Apr 22, 2014 at 17:15 PM

Don't forget these polls...

Gallup poll shows Romney will win the election over Obama

Kasich claims internal polls show Romney winning Ohio

Need I say more...

gacpl commented on Tuesday, Apr 22, 2014 at 22:46 PM

it was real simple, the polls didn't account for people voting over and over or dead people voting.

Funkentelecky commented on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2014 at 05:39 AM

PN , the polls also don't show how the IRS Scandals were suppressing the conservative tea party vote behind closed doors with proven evidence of discrimination in Ohio.

HMJC commented on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2014 at 08:26 AM

At this point we just need to let nature take it's course...The administration continues to spiral downward regardless of all of the "good news" stories. Election day will send a clear message of what this country thinks of the last five years. It's too bad you cannot be impeached for being inept and clueless; if that were the case Wonder Boy would have been gone a long time ago...

sebekm commented on Wednesday, Apr 23, 2014 at 13:22 PM

"Need I say more..."

No - polls are not 100% accurate by any means. A lot has to do with the sampling, the sample size, and whether the poll is basically HONEST. When you have polls like THESE, it's easy to get it wrong:


But by and large, polls are a pretty good indication of the mood of the country and the way politics is currently swinging. In particular, there have been a hell of a lot more polls that CORRECTLY predicted outcomes than the ones you cite on Romney.

The other thing polls can not predict is the impact of VOTER FRAUD on an election. As you may recall from my blog, there were scores of precincts in Pennsylvania WHICH DIDN'T REGISTER A SINGLE VOTE FOR ROMNEY IN THOUSANDS UPON THOUSANDS OF VOTES. When an election is rigged, you can throw all the polls out the window. That's just one more reason we need to insure honesty and integrity in our voting system.

"The administration continues to spiral downward regardless of all of the "good news" stories."

Yes - the Dems are frantically spinning anything remotely positive, and are just plain making stuff up in an effort to stem the groundswell of negativity that they themselves have created by virtue of their actions and their policies. Case in point - Harry Reid:


But the "fact checkers" are on the alert and are working overtime to expose the trickery. There are liars on both sides of the aisle to be sure. But the Dems know that the truth won't help them in November, so their motivation to lie is at a much higher point. The Republicans can simply point to the state of the economy and ObamaCare - and let the truth speak for itself.

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