Presidential Election Predictors
"I Don't Mind A Parasite. I Object To A Cut-Rate One."
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During the U.S. presidential election season, the "predictors" abound. Most of us have seen or heard of them. Some of us follow them. They include the "electoral map" predictors such as the one put out by Real Clear Politics. Then there are the "electoral college models" like the one devised by the University of Colorado. Finally, we have the "polls" such as those taken and published by the Gallup and Rasmussen organizations.

But there are also a few presidential election predictors that I like to call the "Ouija Board Predictors." USATODAY.com ran an article today which highlighted several of these in the realm of professional and college sports. There are two in particular that deal with football:

*The Washington Redskins final home game before the election: Beginning in 1936, when the 'Skins win, the incumbent party retains the White House. The sole exception was 2004.

*Alabama - LSU: Since 1984, an Alabama victory has preceded (or has followed closely after) a Democratic party victory. An LSU win has accompanied a GOP win.

For the entire USATODAY.com article, see:

http://www.usatoday.com/story/gameon/2012/11/01/alabama-lsu-presidential-election/1674675/

So those of us who follow football have a few more interesting "stats" to think about this weekend: who wins on Saturday between Alabama and LSU, and how the Washington Redskins fare on Sunday against Carolina.

(Note: If these "Ouija Board Predictors" hold true, Obama will prevail on Tuesday - as I believe AL and the Redskins are the likely winners.)


Latest Activity: Nov 01, 2012 at 6:19 PM


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Iknowyou commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 07:54 AM

Diapers and Politicians should be changed often, both for the same reason.

HMJC commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 08:48 AM

I am truly disilussioned; this is not what is best for America but it looks like the herd is going secure the votes for the false prophet. I just want to be clear that to all of the obama supporters; dont be crying the blues when his true agenda becomes clear. Remember that with not having to worry about re-election, he will have more options... Bah Humbug!!

Iknowyou commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 13:52 PM

Why is it okay for African American pastors to get on TV and openly support Obama?

According to the Grate murelet if any priest or bishop anywhere is endorsing any candidate or party, he is in error.

Murrelet commented on Tuesday, Oct 30, 2012 at 16:17 PM

I know one thing, IKY: I don't need moral guidance from a lying wannabe stalker like YOU.

Further, if any priest or bishop anywhere is endorsing any candidate or party, he is in error. Not only does Rome forbid it--it also leaves the Church legally vulnerable in terms of losing its tax-exempt status. Personally, I think any religious organization who ventures into the political arena should have its tax exempt status-REVOKED.

HMJC commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 15:45 PM

Furthermore, why is it acceptable for that same priest to spew racist dialouge with no reprecussion? I would think the the current president would have a duty to denounce the rhetoric as not consistent his administration. Of course this did not take place and obama is willing to let race be part of his platform. It is issues such as this that continue to make race relations go backwards. Once again, if you are voting for someone because they are white of black, you are part of the problem and do not deserve to have your narrow minded views part of the democratic process. It angers me to no end that ingorant threats of riots if obama loses. How is this a benifit to race relations in our country. We are imploding and going backwards.

sebekm commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 18:54 PM

We are definitely going backwards, and have been accelerating over the past four years.

As for Murrelet: IKY - have no fear. The case is being built and it is on the record. Despite an anonymous profile, the abusive, bullying comments are there for the world to see, and I intend to chronicle ALL OF THEM in one request to the Webmaster when the time comes. In the meantime, I encourage everyone else:

If you want a civil discussion forum, DO NOT HESITATE to report personal attacks and name-calling to the webmaster. It's a simple matter to "report abuse" when it arises. It is all part of building the case.

Remember - this forum will only be as civil as its participants DEMAND. It is our responsibility to make it work.

sebekm commented on Friday, Nov 02, 2012 at 19:17 PM

...but back on polls - according to a Pew study recently released:

"ON MSNBC, the ratio of negative to positive stories on GOP candidate Mitt Romney was 71 to 3."

And the headline in the Baltimore Sun reads:

"MSNBC really is more partisan than Fox, according to Pew study"

and the best part goes like this:

"(On MSBC): That's not a news channel. That's a propaganda machine, and owner Comcast should probably change Phil Griffin's title from president to high minister of information, or something equally befitting the work of a party propaganist hack in a totalitarian regime. You wonder how mainstream news organizations allow their reporters and corrdespondents to appear in such a cauldron of bias.

I thought show host Sean Hannity of Fox News defined party propagandist. But while his channel was bad, it wasn't as bad-boy biased as MSNBC."

See: http://www.baltimoresun.com/entertain...

To those of us who watch "cable news," this is no real surprise. What was a bit surprising to me that this article came out of a CBS-owned publication. So to CBS, I say: BRAVO for calling a spade a spade.

Now just take a look in the mirror and work on leveling the playing field in your own house.

SportsFan31313 commented on Saturday, Nov 03, 2012 at 13:21 PM

I Predict President Barrack Obama to win this Election..... :-)

sebekm commented on Saturday, Nov 03, 2012 at 15:23 PM

He might....

timeontarget commented on Saturday, Nov 03, 2012 at 16:49 PM

I hope and Pray that whoever is "RIGHT FOR AMERICA" wins this election///////////////////////

Funkentelecky commented on Saturday, Nov 03, 2012 at 20:18 PM

That's Mitt Romney, TOT!

sebekm commented on Sunday, Nov 04, 2012 at 10:59 AM

...as for predictors:

Mitt (LSU) was looking pretty good last night, but Obama (AL) pulled it out in the last minute. Today we have Part II as Obama (Redskins) goes toe-to-toe with Romney (Panthers) again. If the 'Skins win, I guess that means it's in the bag for Obama, right?

sebekm commented on Sunday, Nov 04, 2012 at 16:31 PM

...but WAIT! The 'Skins LOSE AT HOME. That - according to the Ouija Board Prognosticators - is meaningful. It at least evens the score with last night's last-minute win by Alabama. For the history of the Redskins trend, see:

http://www.nationaljournal.com/2012-e...

So - as that old song goes - something's gotta give. Whoever wins will bust at least one trend (again?).

I'm pulling for it to be the AL-win trend. Let's go Romney!

timeontarget commented on Monday, Nov 05, 2012 at 06:04 AM

I hope Romney wins.

He may not be perfect but he is a far better choice for President than Obama.

I fear that it is not true that Obama has failed in his first term.

I suspect he is proud of his accomplishments in the last four years.

I think he is on a mission to bring this great Nation to her knees.

Four more years and he will have accomplished his mission.

Hitler was put in power by election and we have something possibly equally as horrible slowly unfolding right here before our very eyes.

timeontarget commented on Monday, Nov 05, 2012 at 06:14 AM

I know I might be blasted by those from the left for comments such as this but I feel compelled to voice my opinion.

I'm older than some or possibly all of you.

I've seen dramatic change in my lifetime.

The folks in Germany who remained silent and failed to go to the polls allowed the awful transformation that took place then.

The world is far more mean spirited today than it was then.

There is at the same time less of an allegiance in this country for what is good and right.


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