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NBC/WSJ poll: Presidential contest now tied

Heading into Monday's final debate and with just over two weeks until Election Day, President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney are now tied nationally, according the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

Obama and Romney both get 47 percent among likely voters in the latest edition of the poll, conducted entirely in the aftermath of the second presidential debate last Monday. In the last national NBC/WSJ poll, which was conducted before debate season began, the president held a narrow, three-point lead over his GOP challenger, 49 percent to 46 percent.

But among the wider pool of all registered voters in this new survey, Obama is ahead of Romney by five points, 49 percent to 44 percent.

Looking at some of the most important demographic groups, Romney leads among men (53 percent to 43 percent), Obama is up with women (51 percent to 43 percent) and they are essentially tied among voters in the Midwest.

The full poll — which was conducted Oct. 17-20 among 1,000 registered voters and 816 likely voters — will be released at 6:30 pm ET tonight.

The margin of error is plus-minus 3.1 percentage points for the sample of registered voters and plus-minus 3.43 percentage points for the sample of likely voters.


Latest Activity: Oct 21, 2012 at 3:52 PM

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PoliticsNation commented on Sunday, Oct 21, 2012 at 16:21 PM

This is the latest polls..that poll you listed is old...Except the fact that people are not buying the snake oil that Romney/Ryan are selling...Obama will win..

PoliticsNation commented on Sunday, Oct 21, 2012 at 16:23 PM

Also, the MOST RECENT POLLS put the POTUS back in the lead in most areas. The only area Romney is leading(white men)...

Funkentelecky commented on Sunday, Oct 21, 2012 at 16:43 PM

Politics, the Gallup Poll is the most prestigious in American history. It has predicted 16/19 correctly since 1936 and is all alone with Romney winning and is spot on with their late October predictions as re-called by Karl Rove. The best sample is recorded with likely voters and they had Obama winning before October 3rd and the Romney surge will continue even more after Monday night’s Foreign policy debate which Romney will win because of the Presidents incompetence, he is not a leader my dear and it’s time for him to go back to Chicago.


Gallup is the epitome of integrity and impeccable standards, NBC isn’t it’s a Democrat partisan group giving you false hope.

Sheran commented on Sunday, Oct 21, 2012 at 20:20 PM

I Like the Gallup poll myself!


Iknowyou commented on Monday, Oct 22, 2012 at 08:41 AM

I want to thank you PoliticsNation.

I was nu-decided on who I was going to vote for in this presidential election until you started spamming the blog site with all of these attacks.

I will now vote for Romney.

PoliticsNation commented on Monday, Oct 22, 2012 at 17:08 PM

@ I know you...I've assessed your blogs-you were never going to vote for Obama...
@Sebekm...Obama will win...
@Jimmymack...Your right.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 11:33 AM


Debate Winner #1: Romney Romney

Debate Winner #2: President Barrack Obama

Debate Winner #3: President Barrack Obama

Electoral College Indicates President Barrack Obama is leading Candidate Mitt Romney 237 to 191. 270 needed to win the Presidential Election.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:19 PM

I really don't believe that That Debate will have any impact on this election. People are going to cast their votes for whom ever they want to vote for regardless of these debates. A Poll was given and it was a majority republican corrum. When asked about the debate, they said that they would vote for Romney regardless of the debate. So there you have it.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:21 PM

President Obama will win this election whether or not it is close, he will win.

Iknowyou commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:28 PM

Give a man a fish, and he eats for a day.
Give a man a welfare check, a free cell phone, food stamps, section 8 housing, and some Air Jordan's and he will vote for Obama for the rest of his life.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:29 PM

The majority of the Southern States votes republican anyway. The North seem to vote Democrat. When you are living in the South, you will hear constantly Republican views. The North speak Democratic views. In my opinion the Mid West are a toss up. Or what I would say swing.

timeontarget commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:33 PM

SportsFan, you very well may be correct.

If so within four years I imagine we will be operating as a socialist country.

Then our days will be numbered and we will continue to decline in power nationally as well as internationally.

I'm glad I'm old.

I feel sorry for my grandchildren.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:46 PM

IKnowyou States:

"Give a man a fish, and he eats for a day.
Give a man a welfare check, a free cell phone, food stamps, section 8 housing, and some Air Jordan's and he will vote for Obama for the rest of his life."

Well If you were offered those items too, I don't think you would turn them down either.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

The Republicans can assume what ever command they would like. The results are determined at the Voting Polls. President Obama will win this election for a 2nd term. Just watch, and see.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 12:50 PM


I hear you. :-)

Iknowyou commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 13:41 PM

Nothing we say here - especially at this point in time - makes any difference.

You are correct sebekm, Romney will win in Georgia no matter what we say on this pe-ditty blog.

SportsFan31313 commented on Tuesday, Oct 23, 2012 at 15:16 PM

I agree with you Sebekm and Iknowyou: It does not make any difference. The State Of Georgia is a Republican State anyway:

In my opinion, I believe it's because people who would probably vote democratic (young minorities) that live in Rural Areas in the State (which is majority location wise) do not get out, and vote. In addition, certain religious denominations do not vote either. It's been that way for many years, even before my time.

timeontarget commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 06:27 AM

About the welfare check, free cell phone, section eight housing etc, I personally qualify for all of those things and I've been qualified for well over a decade.

Up till now I've never had to stoop so low as to accept a hand out from any other than my family.

I hope I'm able to keep it that way.

I hope the good Lord will take me away before that happens.

Give a man a handout and you destroy his pride.

A man with little or no self esteem is less of a man.

SportsFan31313 commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Sometimes A man's pride will cause him to lose out on the very things that he may need the most. I am guilty of that too. A lot of times it's not that the person in need is looking for a handout, but just a hand in a time of need.

SportsFan31313 commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 12:38 PM

President Obama is now up 5 points in the latest Gallup poll.

President Obama 50%
Mitt Romney 45%

2% margin of error

Funkentelecky commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 14:38 PM

SF3, are you reporting the NBC/WSJ poll?

In the Gallup poll Romney still leads among likely voters which are the most accurate sample:


BHO leads registered voter sample:


These are bad for the President because that final 3-5% votes against the incumbent over 90% of the time. That’s why when an Incumbent locks in at 50% the challenger is toast; however in this case BHO will be toast 11/6/12.
Here are the Gallup Numbers. The Gallup is the most prestigious a most accurate in American history, it has picked the President accurately in the last 16/19 elections since 1936 and has been correct on every election since 1980 within two weeks of an election.


Romney/Ryan by a huge swing state landslide victory!

SportsFan31313 commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 17:24 PM

Election 2012 Tracking October 17-23 2012 Updates daily at 1:00 pmETreflects one day change.

Registers Voters

Obama 48%
Romney 47%

Likely Voters

Romney 50%
Obama 47%

SportsFan31313 commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 17:44 PM


I don't remember where I saw it this morning. But I just saw what you posted.

However; what I do know for sure is that I saw that in the electoral college:

President Obama has 237 Electoral Votes
Mitt Romney has 191. @70 is needed to win the Election. Obama is well on his way for another victory.

Romney may have the popularity votes.
Bur Obama have the electoral college.

Also, the State Of Georgia votes majority Republican, and clearly Mitt Romney will carry that State. But look at the other Northern States. It is TOTALLY language there.

Obama will win Ohio again as well, and that maybe the State that will put President Obama back in Office fr a 2nd term.

SportsFan31313 commented on Wednesday, Oct 24, 2012 at 17:47 PM

Sorry for the typos.

I have to start using my glasses. :-)

timeontarget commented on Thursday, Oct 25, 2012 at 07:25 AM

Murrelet, I don't think Mitt Romney is a dim bulb.

He has done very well in the world of business.

Free enterprise is the backbone of American exceptionalism.

Really smart people aren't interested in public service because the nature of our politics has become too down and dirty.

In this modern age of tolerance there are few among us with no skeletons in our closet.

Remember Herman Cain.

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